Look don't get emotional over my predictions and assessment. They are what they are: my honest assessment. You sure are not complaining when my assessment is in China's favor. I am NOT going to change my assessment just because you don't like it and it is the reason (cold logic) why my predictions turn out precisely as I have predicted well over 90% of the time.

And as far as your numbers and facts, also keep in mind another concept: information asymmetry. You never get 100% of the facts or information. If you look at the situation after the fact, it is called after-the-fact for a reason. I am predicting the outcome and assessing the situation CORRECTLY without the benefit of all the facts and information which make it all the more remarkabale.