Russ-UKR war is a land invasion; objective:1)Take back the russ majority regions of UKR 2)Some form of quarantee UKR will not b part of NATO.
China's objective: Get rid of the T.I. fraction in TW. and TW declares itself part of PRC.
Beijing is not interested in taking over TW economically;rather the objective is TW more dependent on the ML
TW liberation war,at least initially, will b largely A.I., drones, 400km range ballistic rocket war. >10 yrs ago, I read that has been the PLA vision that future war will b A.I. driven
The FSU had 40000-50000 tanks and PLA only has 9000 tanks; but PRC heavy industry is much bigger than that of FSU. After the dissolution of FSU, the PLA sees little possibility fighting large land battles (including that over the himalayas)
China should reduce foren currency reserve holdings and build up more copper, nickel, iron ore... reserves; even better if china can borrow 100s of billions of $ from yank banks to buy commodities.